DHS / DOJ / CALIFORNIA VOTER LIST
"This preliminary analysis has identified a significant number of individuals in California who are likely noncitizens and appear to be registered to vote; the analysis and review remain ongoing."
"State officials say the federal data are unreliable and the demand comes too close to the election." — — Los Angeles Times, October 15, summarizing California response
Read the standard of proof next to the remedy. DHS and DOJ sued California on October 15 asking a federal court to stop tabulating vote-by-mail ballots from more than 20,000 named people until each one citizenship can be determined. The sworn declarations call them "highly likely to be noncitizen aliens." Mullin press statement calls the analysis preliminary and ongoing in the same breath as the line about one vote canceling another. Nobody ran those two facts in one sentence, and the arithmetic is symmetrical: if the matching is wrong at any rate above zero, a set-aside order cancels citizen votes by exactly the mechanism the release condemns. The funnel is the number to watch — USCIS and HSI took a preliminary list of over 175,000 down to just over 20,000 between July and October 13, an 88 percent cut performed on public registration records enriched against immigration data, and the complaint states no error rate for the method. California was handed the list and asked to find the citizens on it; the government says it failed to do so; California says the data are unreliable and it is too late. Voting was already underway. On October 19 DOJ charged 28 foreign nationals with illegally registering and voting and told the court every one is on the list. Twenty-eight of 20,000 was reported as corroboration. It is also a ratio. The relief sought puts the burden of proof on the voter, after the vote, filed by a party telling the court its own review is not finished, nineteen days out.